Widespread monsoon rains to prevail over Metro Manila, parts of Luzon as Typhoon Fabian nears exit

Marje Pelayo   •   July 23, 2021   •   289

MANILA, Philippines — Monsoon rains are expected to continue over Metro Manila and other parts of Luzon on Friday (July 23), according to the state weather agency PAGASA.

In its latest bulletin, PAGASA said Typhoon Fabian is continuously enhancing the southwest monsoon.

This will bring scattered to widespread monsoon rains in the next 24 hours over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Administrative Region, Metro Manila, most of CALABARZON and Central Luzon, and portions of MIMAROPA.

As of 5:00 AM Friday, Typhoon Fabian was located 510 km Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes packed with maximum sustained winds of 150 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 185 km/h, and a central pressure of 955 hPa

It is moving slowly towards the West Northwestward direction.

Strong winds or higher extend outwards up to 630 km from the center thus, tropical cyclone wind signal (TCWS) No.1 remains over the areas of Batanes and the Babuyan Islands which is likely to remain throughout the passage of the typhoon, PAGASA said.

Meanwhile, occasionally gusty conditions associated with the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will be experienced over the Visayas and the rest of Luzon, especially in the coastal and upland localities of these areas.

Thus, rough to very rough seas will be experienced over the seaboards of Luzon (including the areas under TCWS #1) and Western Visayas.

Sea travel is risky for small seacrafts over these waters.

Mariners without the proper experience should immediately seek safe harbor.

Based on its movement, typhoon Fabian is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) between tonight and tomorrow (24 July) morning.

New LPA, ITCZ to bring occasional heavy rains over Mimaropa, Western Visayas

Marje Pelayo   •   September 21, 2021

MANILA, Philippines — The combined effects of the inter tropical convergence zone (ITCZ) and a new low pressure area (LPA) will bring occasional heavy rain showers over Mimaropa and Western Visayas.

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) on
Tuesday (September 21) said that the new LPA last spotted over the coastal waters of Dumaran, Palawan has a slim
chance of developing into a tropical cyclone and may likely dissipate.

In the next two to three days, the agency sees no weather disturbance to affect the country.

Metro Manila and the rest of the country will have isolated rain showers or thunderstorms due to the impact of ITCZ and localized thunderstorms.

Meanwhile, the entire country will experience light to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas throughout the day.

Scattered rains to prevail over Metro Manila, other areas due to LPA, ITCZ

Marje Pelayo   •   September 17, 2021

MANILA, Philippines — State weather bureau PAGASA forecasts scattered rains over Metro Manila and other areas due to the combined effects of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) and brewing low pressure area (LPA) south of the country.

Aside from Metro Manila, scattered rains will also prevail over the areas of areas in Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Western Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Bangsamoro, SOCCSKSARGEN, Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Benguet, Ifugao, La Union, Pangasinan, and Camarines Norte.

This, as PAGASA monitors the LPA specifically located at 90 kilometers east southeast of Romblon, Romblon, based on PAGASA’s 4:00AM forecast.

The LPA, embedded in the ITCZ generally affects Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao.

Meanwhile, the rest of the country will have isolated rains or thunderstorms due to the impact of ITCZ combined with localized thunderstorms.

These weather conditions are likely to cause flash floods or landslides due to moderate to at times heavy rains or severe thunderstorms.

Thus, residents in areas prone to these hazards are advised to take precautionary measures for possible danger.

La Niña likely in the last quarter of 2021 — PAGASA

Marje Pelayo   •   September 14, 2021

MANILA, Philippines — The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that La Niña may occur in the coming months.

Based on the agency’s La Niña Alert issued on Tuesday (September 14), there is a 70% to 80% chance that La Niña will form in the last quarter this year.

This phenomenon may persist or prevail until the first quarter of 2022, the agency said.

Also, PAGASA’s rainfall forecast suggests that above-normal rainfall conditions in many areas may be experienced in the next several months.

This can be attributed to the expected stronger easterlies, enhanced Northeast monsoon and tropical cyclone occurrences, according to the advisory.

“The eastern sections of the country which normally receive more rainfall during the last quarter of the year could further increase the likelihood of more adverse impacts such as floods and landslides over highly vulnerable areas,” PAGASA Administrator Vic Malano said in the advisory.

“With this scenario, all concerned agencies are advised to take precautionary measures to mitigate the potential adverse impacts of this looming La Niña,” he added.

La Niña phenomenon refers to the unusually cool ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.

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