Signal #1 remains over Batanes; Typhoon Fabian to exit PAR Friday night — PAGASA

Marje Pelayo   •   July 23, 2021   •   423

MANILA, Philippines — Typhoon Fabian is expected to exit the Philippine area of responsibility (PAR) on Friday evening (July 23) according to state weather agency PAGASA.

As of its 5:00 p.m. bulletin, PAGASA said Typhoon Fabian was located 540 kilometers northeast of Itbayat, Batanes packed with maximum sustained winds of 150 km/h and gustiness of 185 km/h.

Thus, tropical cyclone wind signal (TCWS) #1 remains hoisted over the province of Batanes while a cyclone warning signal was earlier lifted for Babuyan Islands.

Given this condition, residents of Batanes will continuously experience strong winds throughout the passage of the typhoon.

Meanwhile, typhoon-enhanced southwest monsoon will continuously experience scattered to widespread monsoon rains over Ilocos Region, Abra, Benguet, Tarlac, Pampanga, Cavite, and Batangas.

Light to moderate with at times heavy rains will prevail over Metro Manila, the rest of Cordillera Administrative Region, Bulacan, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, and Northern Palawan including Calamian and Kalayaan Islands.

Also, occasional gusty conditions will be experienced over Visayas and the rest of Luzon, especially in the coastal and upland localities in these areas.

According to PAGASA, Typhoon Fabian is forecast to gradually intensify in the near term and reach its peak intensity tomorrow afternoon.

A weakening trend in its intensity may begin by Sunday morning.

La Niña likely in the last quarter of 2021 — PAGASA

Marje Pelayo   •   September 14, 2021

MANILA, Philippines — The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that La Niña may occur in the coming months.

Based on the agency’s La Niña Alert issued on Tuesday (September 14), there is a 70% to 80% chance that La Niña will form in the last quarter this year.

This phenomenon may persist or prevail until the first quarter of 2022, the agency said.

Also, PAGASA’s rainfall forecast suggests that above-normal rainfall conditions in many areas may be experienced in the next several months.

This can be attributed to the expected stronger easterlies, enhanced Northeast monsoon and tropical cyclone occurrences, according to the advisory.

“The eastern sections of the country which normally receive more rainfall during the last quarter of the year could further increase the likelihood of more adverse impacts such as floods and landslides over highly vulnerable areas,” PAGASA Administrator Vic Malano said in the advisory.

“With this scenario, all concerned agencies are advised to take precautionary measures to mitigate the potential adverse impacts of this looming La Niña,” he added.

La Niña phenomenon refers to the unusually cool ocean surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.

Residents in parts of Bulacan warned amid Ipo Dam spilling ops

Marje Pelayo   •   September 14, 2021

MANILA, Philippines — The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) Hydrometeorology Division advises residents in some parts of Bulacan to take caution amid the continuous spilling operations at Ipo Dam.

As of 8:00 a.m. Tuesday (September 14), the water level of Ipo Dam is 100.72 meters.

The dam management continues to conduct spilling operations with one gate open and thus, PAGASA advised residents in low-lying areas and those living near the riverbanks of Angat River from Norzagaray, Angat, San Rafael, Bustos, Baliuag, Pulilan, Plaridel, Calumpit, and Hagonoy to be alert for possible increase in water level.

PAGASA assured that it will continue to monitor the hydrological condition of Ipo Dam along with the Dam management for updates.

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Southwest monsoon affecting Luzon, ITCZ affecting Southern Mindanao

Marje Pelayo   •   September 13, 2021

MANILA, Philippines — Tropical cyclone Chantu (Typhoon Kiko) has exited the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) and is now 790 kilometers North of Itbayat, Batanes.

According to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), the Southwest Monsoon and the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) will bring cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms over the areas of Babuyan Islands, Batanes, Ilocos Region, Abra, Benguet, Zambales, Bataan, MIMAROPA, the Zamboanga Peninsula, and the Bangsamoro.

This may cause flash floods or landslides due to heavy to at times intense rains in the said areas.

Meanwhile, Metro Manila and the rest of the country will have partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers due to the combined effects of the Southwest Monsoon and localized thunderstorms.

All Tropical Cyclone Wind Signals are now lifted.

However, PAGASA said the enhanced Southwest Monsoon will bring occasional gusts reaching strong breezes to near gale strength over the coastal and upland or mountain areas of Northern Luzon, Central Luzon, Metro Manila, CALABARZON, and MIMAROPA in the next 24 hours.

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