MANILA, Philippines – State weather bureau Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has noticed extreme weather conditions affecting the country.
Section Chief Ana Solis of PAGASA’s Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section noted that in the past, El Niño phenomenon occurs only once in 10 to 15 years.
But since the year 2000, the interval has shortened to only about five to seven years.
PAGASA noted the 2015-2016 extreme El Niño that greatly impacted the country’s agriculture.
Likewise, the prevalence of La Niña has gone back-to-back with the onset of El Niño.
According to Solis, such drastic changes in the country’s climate condition is likely to become a regular phenomenon in the future.
This is because of the effects of global warming.
The official added that increase in humidity will also be a common condition in the evening.
“Ito na ang nagiging (normal) climate. Ibig sabihin hotter and then wetter or colder and then drier. So nagsi-shift na ang climate natin, (This will become our normal climate (condition) this means it can be hotter, wetter, colder or drier because our climate is shifting,)” Solis explained.
The PAGASA specialist also noted that strong tropical cyclones are now taking the common or usual path that previous strong typhoons had tracked.
In the past, Solis explained, strong weather disturbances have taken the Mindanao track but nowadays, they are taking the Bicol, Samar, and Leyte trail.
“Itong preferred tracks na naman ng mga bagyo ay medyo pumapaitaas na naman dito sa may part ng Visayas and Southern Luzon area, (The cyclones’ preferred track is heading upward to Visayas and Southern Luzon areas,)” Solis explained.
The PAGASA recommends the government upgrade its measures in disaster preparedness with the changing climate in order to mitigate its effects to the people and agriculture. – Marje Pelayo (with details from Rey Pelayo)
It is expected to bring rains over Visayas and Zamboanga Peninsula, specifically cloudy skies with scattered rain showers and thunderstorms.
Meanwhile, Tropical Depression Marce has slightly intensified and is moving almost stationary for the past six hours.
Based on the latest forecast track, the weather system is expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) in the morning or early afternoon on Monday (September 21).
As of 10:00PM on Sunday (September 20), TD Marce was located at 1,285 km East Northeast of Extreme Northern Luzon packed with maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 70 km/h.
Prior to exit, TD Marce is not expected to affect any land area or coastal waters of the country.
Meanwhile, Metro Manila and the rest of the country will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers due to localized thunderstorms throughout the day.
As of 4:00 a.m. on Wednesday (September 16), TS Leon was located at 225 km west northwest of Coron, Palawan, packed with maximum sustained winds of 65 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 80 km/h and is moving west northwest at 10 km/h.
TS Leon is expected to further strengthen and is forecast to reach severe tropical storm category within 24 hours and then develop into a typhoon within 48 hours, according to PAGASA.
The agency warned of moderate to heavy rains over the areas of Aurora, Rizal, Palawan (including Kalayaan, Calamian, and Cuyo Islands), Mindoro Provinces, Romblon, Western Visayas, and Negros Oriental due to combined impact of TS Leon and the Southwest Monsoon or Habagat.
As of 5:00 am today, no tropical cyclone wind signal (TCWS) is in effect as the agency lifted the wind signal previously raised over Calamian Island in Palawan.
However, gusty winds may be experienced in the areas of Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Palawan (including Kalayaan, Calamian, and Cuyo Islands), Mindoro Provinces, Romblon, and Western Visayas.
Meanwhile, moderate to at times heavy rains are expected over Bicol Region, Caraga, Northern Mindanao, Zamboanga Peninsula, Metro Manila, Isabela, Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, and the rest of Central Luzon, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, and Visayas.
PAGASA advised residents in affected areas to monitor against potential flooding and rain-induced landslides during times of heavy or prolonged rainfall.
Meanwhile, gale Warning is in effect over the western seaboard of Palawan (including Calamian and Kalayaan Islands) and Occidental Mindoro (including Lubang Island) due to rough to very rough seas with waves reaching up to 4.5 meters.
Sea travel is risky over these areas.
Tropical storm Leon expected to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) on Thursday morning (September 17).
MANILA, Philippines — Isang low pressure area (LPA) na nasa silangang bahagi ng Visayas ang magpapaulan sa bansa ngayong linggong ito.
Ayon sa Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), posible itong maging ganap na bagyo pagtawid sa Southern Luzon at bago lumabas ng Philippine area of responsibility (PAR).
Sakaling maging ganap na bagyo ay tatawagin itong Bagyong ‘Leon’.
Batay sa huling tala ng ahensya ngayong 10:00 ng umaga ng Lunes (September 14), namataan ang sama ng panahon 320 kilometro ang layo sa Silangan ng Catarman, Northern Samar.
Ayon sa pagtaya ng PAGASA, dadaan ang LPA sa lugar ng Bicol at CALABARZON, MIMAROPA sa araw ng Martes (September 15) kung saan makararanas ng makulimlim at maulang panahon.
Gayunding panahon ang mararanasan sa malaking bahagi ng Visayas at Mindanao bunsod ng magkahalong epekto ng LPA at paglakas ng hanging Habagat.
Sa araw ng Miyerkoles (September 16) ay inaasahang makararating ang LPA sa West Philippine Sea kung saan tatas ang tsansa nitong maging bagyo.
Magiging maulan sa buong bansa at pinakamalakas na mararanasang pagulan ay sa kanlurang bahagi dahil pa rin sa Habagat.
Pinag-iingat ang publiko sa posibleng pagbaha at landslide.
Sa araw ng Huwebes (September 17) ay inaasahang magiging ganap na bagyo na ang sama ng panahon subalit ito rin ang araw na inaasahang lalabas ito ng PAR.
Makakaasa naman ng paminsan-minsang pag-ulan sa Metro Manila at kanlurang bahagi ng Cental Luzon, Southern Luzon at Visayas sa araw na ito dahil sa epekto ng Habagat.
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