Experts see surge in COVID-19 cases if passenger capacity is raised to 75%

MANILA, Philippines — The Department of Transportation (DOTr) said it is ready to implement the 75% passenger capacity in public transportation once the entire Philippines is placed under modified general community quarantine (MGCQ).
This means more passengers will be allowed inside a public utility vehicle with reduced physical distancing.
In a statement, the DOTr said that although it recognizes the recommendation of the National Economic Development Authority (NEDA), they will still depend on the decision of the Inter-Agency Task Force (IATF).
“We leave the NEDA proposal to the evaluation of the IATF being the primary agency tasked to formulate plans and rules during this period of the pandemic as the country moves forward towards the “new normal”,” the DOTr said.
“Rest assured that the DOTr will implement whatever decision the IATF and the Cabinet may arrive at,” it added.
Meanwhile, experts from the UP OCTA research said that while they respect the policies the government is imposing, they fear the possible surge of COVID-19 cases once passenger capacity is increased in public transportations.
The group is currently monitoring the detected clustering of COVID-19 cases in MRT-3 which involves the new variant discovered in the United Kingdom.
What they suggest is that instead of increasing passenger capacity, it is better to increase the number of PUV units and retain the standard physical distance in between passengers.
“With the UK Variant it’s even more risky because the UK variant is more transmissible, so kumbaga we’re giving UK variant more opportunities to spread if we increased capacity in public transportation,” explained Dr. Guido David of the UP OCTA Research.
The group also recognizes the need to resume operations of provincial buses.
However, there must be a concrete guideline for operators and drivers and the standard health protocols should be strictly imposed at all times to curb transmission.
Experts said it would be best to place the entire country under MGCQ once the COVID-19 vaccination commences.
“It’s very important to vaccinate our front liners because they will help us in preventing surges. Even if we don’t see the effect immediately the vaccine roll-out will have a really big impact on our public health outlook and definitely moving to MGCQ will definitely possible,” David said.
The group sees a possible doubling of COVID-19 cases if the decision to relax quarantine measures is imposed in haste and without proper safeguards. –MNP (with reports from Joan Nano)