8-14 tropical cyclone may enter the PAR

admin   •   June 15, 2016   •   4809

FILE PHOTO: A screengrab of  a satellite image from PAGASA.

FILE PHOTO: A screengrab of a satellite image from PAGASA.

We’re now in the middle of the year but no tropical cyclone has yet entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said, even if the El Niño phenomenon is now in its decaying stage, it still affects the country.

Last month, 8 provinces were affected by drought while some areas may also be affected this month and in July including Bataan, Zambales, Palawan and Masbate.

On average, around 19-20 tropical cyclones enter the PAR. but this year only 8-14 can be expected or 16 at the end of the year.

“We are still feeling the impact of El Niño. One of the manifestations is lesser tropical cyclone,” explained Anthony Lucero, OIC in PAGASA-Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section.

PAGASA’s climatological model shows that La Niña is more likely to develop and affect the country during the last quarter of the 2016.

Giving trainings and seminars to LGU staff are part of PAGASA’s preparation.

Flood forecasting centers are also ready to monitor the 18 major and 421 principal river basins around the country.

Dissemination of storm alerts will also be more frequent.

With a lead time of 24 hours before the cyclone’s landfall, PAGASA shall release bulletins every 3 hours including hourly updates on the location and sustained winds.

“If we see in our forecast that the cyclone will gain strength within 3 hours, we will raise signal even if it is not yet attaining the suppose sustained wind,” PAGASA Weather Division Chief Esperanza Cayanan said.

PAGASA will use signal number 5 for a super typhoon category that gains the maximum sustained winds of more than 220kph.

ITCZ brings scattered rainshowers, thunderstorms over parts of Luzon, Visayas

Aileen Cerrudo   •   October 25, 2021

MANILA, Philippines—The Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) affecting Southern Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao will continue to bring scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms,  the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Monday.

Scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms will prevail over Metro Manila, CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, and Western Visayas. The state weather bureau warned possible flash floods or landslides during moderate to at times heavy rains.

Cagayan Valley and Aurora will likewise have cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and isolated thunderstorms, while the rest of the country will experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms. AAC

LPA spotted off Eastern Samar — PAGASA

Aileen Cerrudo   •   October 22, 2021

MANILA, Philippines—A low pressure area (LPA) has been spotted in Eastern Samar, according to the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA).

Based on the weather forecast of PAGASA, the LPA was spotted 525 kilometers east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar at around 3 a.m. it is embedded along the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) affecting Palawan, Visayas, and Mindanao.

Cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms are expected in Caraga, Eastern Visayas, and Central Visayas.

Batanes and Cagayan might experience partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated light rains.

In Metro Manila, and the rest of the country, weather will be partly cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.

PAGASA said the LPA has a low chance of intensifying into a tropical depression within 24 hours. AAC

Signal nos. 1 and 2 still up in parts of Luzon as Maring nears exit

Aileen Cerrudo   •   October 12, 2021

MANILA, Philippines—  Tropical cyclone wind signals are still raised over parts of Luzon as severe tropical storm “Maring” is about to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR).

According to PAGASA, Maring was located 315 km West of Calayan, Cagayan and will continue to move westward over the West Philippine Sea. It has maximum sustained winds of 100 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 125 km/h.

Heavy to intense rains are highly likely over Ilocos Region, Benguet, Ifugao, Abra, and Mountain Province.

Moderate to heavy rains are highly likely over Zambales, Bataan, Tarlac, and the rest of Cordillera Administrative Region.

Light to moderate with at times heavy rains are likely over Metro Manila, Cagayan Valley, and the rest Central Luzon.

TCWS No. 2  prevails in the following areas:

  • Batanes
  • Cagayan including Babuyan Islands
  • The northern portion of Isabela (Palanan, Divilacan, Maconacon, Ilagan City, Tumauini, Cabagan, San Pablo, Santa Maria, Santo Tomas, Delfin Albano, Quirino, Gamu, Roxas, Mallig, Quezon)
  • Apayao
  • Kalinga
  • Mountain Provinc
  • Abra
  • Ilocos Norte
  • Ilocos Sur

Meanwhile, Signal No. 1 has been raised in the following areas:

  • The rest of Isabela
  • Nueva Vizcaya
  • Quirino
  • Ifugao
  • Benguet
  • La Union
  • Pangasinan
  • Aurora
  • Nueva Ecija
  • Tarlac
  • Zambales
  • Pampanga
  • Bulacan
  • The northern portion of Bataan (Samal, Morong, Dinalupihan, Abucay, Orani, Hermosa)
  • The northern portion of Quezon (General Nakar, Infanta) including Polillo Islands

Within the next 36 hours,  Maring is forecast to gradually intensify but is becoming less likely to reach typhoon category prior to making landfall over Hainan Island in China.

The state weather bureau continues to remind the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. AAC

 

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